![]() ![]() ![]() Subseasonal predictions bridge the gap between medium-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions. In red, decomposition of the fair RPSS: annual evolution of fair RPS for ECMWF-Ext-ENS, with a monthly climatology (verification setup 5) represented by the solid red line, and with a monthly running-window climatology (verification setup 7) represented by the dotted red line, and annual evolution of fair RPS for the climatological forecast based on ERA-Interim, with a monthly climatology (verification setup 5) represented by the solid red line with “R,” and with a monthly running-window climatology (verification setup 7) represented by the dotted red line with “R.” (b) As in (a), but for fair CRPSS (black lines) and its decomposition in fair CRPS (red lines). (a) Annual evolution of fair RPSS for ECMWF-Ext-ENS 2-m temperatures for a region in North America (35°–65°N, 240°–280☎) for days 12–18, with a monthly climatology (verification setup 5) represented by the solid black line, and with a monthly running-window climatology (verification setup 7) represented by the dotted black line. ![]()
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